Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeskai Control | scipios | 8-1 | None |
| Jeskai Control | soulstrong | 8-2 | 2nd in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12769865 |
| Jeskai Control | platinum-mythic rank player | 6-0 | 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 14, 2025 |
| Unknown Archetype | kanister | 7-2 | None |
| Jeskai Control | kinghairy | 6-2 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
5 Color Legends , Domain Control , Domain Ramp , Grixis Midrange , Grixis Monument , Grixis Reanimator , Izzet Artist's Monument , Izzet Control , Izzet Hellraiser , Izzet Mill
Meta Performance Analysis
Ill-Timed Explosion ranks #311 out of approximately 413 cards in raw efficiency (top 75%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Multi average: 67.2%
Performance compared to other Multi cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Ill-Timed Explosion is an underperforming card in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 1
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 12.40 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 4 mana, the average win rate in the format is 74.6%. Ill-Timed Explosion has a win rate of 80.9%, making it 8.4% better than other 4-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dispelling Exhale | Instant | 19 | 81.2% | 10 |
| Kutzil's Flanker | Creature — Cat Warrior | 16 | 80.0% | 9 |
| Flashfreeze | Instant | 16 | 78.4% | 6 |
| Marang River Regent | Creature — Dragon | 21 | 78.2% | 11 |
| Shiko, Paragon of the Way | Legendary Creature — Spirit Dragon | 23 | 77.3% | 11 |
| Jeskai Revelation | Instant | 25 | 74.5% | 12 |
| Rediscover the Way | Enchantment — Saga | 26 | 73.8% | 12 |
| Beza, the Bounding Spring | Legendary Creature — Elemental Elk | 30 | 73.5% | 12 |
| Exorcise | Sorcery | 22 | 72.4% | 10 |
| Temporary Lockdown | Enchantment | 27 | 71.9% | 12 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Ill-Timed Explosion than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghost Vacuum | Artifact | 1 | 13 | 87.8% | 78.5% | +9.3% |
| Temporary Lockdown | Enchantment | 3 | 22 | 83.6% | 76.7% | +6.9% |
| Jace, the Perfected Mind | Legendary Planeswalker — Jace | 4 | 21 | 83.6% | 77.0% | +6.6% |
| Marang River Regent | Creature — Dragon | 6 | 21 | 84.5% | 78.6% | +5.8% |
| Tishana's Tidebinder | Creature — Merfolk Wizard | 3 | 24 | 82.2% | 77.3% | +4.9% |
| Pyroclasm | Sorcery | 2 | 21 | 84.5% | 79.8% | +4.7% |
| Jeskai Revelation | Instant | 7 | 25 | 83.3% | 78.7% | +4.6% |
| Chandra, Hope's Beacon | Legendary Planeswalker — Chandra | 6 | 17 | 84.6% | 80.0% | +4.6% |
| Get Lost | Instant | 2 | 24 | 81.3% | 77.0% | +4.4% |
| Kutzil's Flanker | Creature — Cat Warrior | 3 | 16 | 82.8% | 78.5% | +4.3% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeskai Control | 24 | 42.1% | 73.3% |
| Unknown Archetype | 19 | 5.2% | 42.0% |
| Temur Otters | 19 | 5.7% | 36.8% |
| Izzet Hellraiser | 16 | 100.0% | 24.9% |
| Unclassified | 8 | 3.9% | 20.2% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.